How Judges’ Professional Experience Impacts Case Outcomes: An Examination of Public Defenders and Criminal Sentencing
- Published
- September 12, 2025
- Publication
- Journal of Politics
- Discipline
- Areas of Study
- Geographic Areas
- Document Control Number(s)
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- ISPS 25-51
- Citation
- Abstract
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Do judges’ professional backgrounds affect their rulings? We investigate this question by looking at the impact of judges’ public defender experience on sentencing. Leveraging thousands of sentences, we find that defendants assigned to a former public defender are, on average, less likely to be incarcerated. Their sentences are also sometimes shorter, which we show is partially due to former public defenders being less likely to give extreme punishments. Taken together, this means that even small increases in the number of former public defenders can result in thousands fewer people incarcerated. The findings make two key contributions. First, our findings provide crucial insight into disparities in the criminal legal system and how judge characteristics can play a significant role. Second, we showcase the potential impact of judges’ professional experience on decision-making. Both illustrate a new strategy through which politicians can influence policy—by choosing judges based on their previous jobs.
- Description
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Supplemental:
Related Data:
Replication files are available in the JOP Dataverse (https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/jop).The empirical analysis has been successfully replicated by the JOP replication analyst. An online appendix with supplementary material is available at https://doi.org/10.1086/734532.
1. The empirical data have been successfully replicated by the JOP replication analyst.
2. Many misdemeanors and most petty offenses are handled by magistrate judges. The appendix includes analyses restricting the sample to felonies, which would drop such charges. The substantive results are unaffected.
3. In two instances out of 122, the judge had volunteer public defender experience. We dropped those with volunteer experience or pro bono experience in the case of private work.
4. At times this variable is not reported; substantive inferences are unchanged when dropping this.
5. Tables with full results are included in the appendix.
6. See https://twitter.com/POTUS/status/1637235784330690560.