Matthew Graham, Ph.D. Candidate in Political Science, Yale University
ISPS EXPERIMENTS WORKSHOP
Abstract: The talk will consider three methods of estimating the confidence levels of survey respondents who say “don’t know”. In other words, how confident would “don’t know” respondents have been if they had answered the question? Preliminary results speak to two main questions. First, to what extent do don’t know responses conceal meaningful beliefs or attitudes? Second, do demographic differences in the willingness to express an opinion arise from differential confidence or differential willingness to guess at a given confidence level?
Matt Graham is a Ph.D. candidate in Political Science at Yale University. This work is part of a dissertation project that develops tools for incorporating confidence measures into interpretations of public opinion data.
Yale Faculty, Yale Postdoctoral Trainees, Yale Graduate and Professional Students