Not by Turnout Alone: Measuring the Sources of Electoral Change, 2012 to 2016

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Suggested citation: 

Hill, Seth J., Daniel J. Hopkins, and Gregory A. Huber (2021). Replication Materials for, Not by Turnout Alone: Measuring the Sources of Electoral Change, 2012 to 2016. ISPS Data Archive.


Seth J. Hill, Daniel J. Hopkins, Gregory Huber

Research design: 
Field Date: 
2012 - 2016
Location details: 
FL, GA, MI, NV, OH, and PA
Unit of observation: 
Geo: other
Sample size: 
Our collection of precinct-level returns and voter files comes from six states that cover 30,000 precincts and tens of millions of votes cast. We chose the six states—Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, and Pennsylvania—on the basis of multiple criteria. We emphasized states that were closely contested in 2012 and/or 2016, for which we could obtain the necessary voter files and precinct returns, and which provided some indication of party preference in the voter file through party registration or records of party primary participation.
Randomization procedure: 
Treatment administration: 
Not applicable
Outcome measures: 
Electoral change toward the GOP
Archive date: 
Terms of use: 

ISPS Data Archive: Terms of Use.

Area of study: 
Data file number Descriptionsort descending File format Size File url
D170F08 Codebook .txt 29956 Download file
D170F02 Data file .dta 3517664 Download file
D170F02.1 Data file .csv 6714526 Download file
D170F09 ISPS Data Archive Report .pdf 759817 Download file
D170F10 Metadata (DDI 3.2) .xml 211027 Download file
D170F03 Program file 1 .do 812 Download file
D170F04 Program file 2 .R 5884 Download file
D170F05 Program file 3 .R 40544 Download file
D170F06 Program file T1,3 .do 8266 Download file
D170F07 Program file T2,4 .do 9055 Download file
D170F01 Readme file .txt 472 Download file